The Illiberal Turn: Decelerating Latin American Democratic Backsliding (2023-2024)

The Western Hemisphere influences the prosperity of the United States (U.S.) more directly than any other region in the world. As a result, U.S. policies are designed to promote a secure, middle-class, and democratic landscape within Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). However, the erosion of democratic norms and the emergence of illiberal states in LAC threaten regional stability, economic growth, and the integrity of the international rules-based order. This trend is further exacerbated by transnational crime, climate change, rising inequalities, strategic competition, populism, and institutional degradation.

To counteract democratic backsliding, this paper examines past U.S. initiatives aimed at fostering democracy throughout the region. The analysis reveals that the United States has frequently approached the region through a one-size-fits-all lens; however, this paper underscores the need for policies that are tailored to the distinctive needs and contexts of individual countries.In line with this perspective, the recommendations presented incorporate the Human Empowerment Model, which addresses existential, psychological, and institutional dimensions at the country level to effectively advance democratic efforts. When used alongside democracy scorecards like the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) and our internally developed“Democracy Gauge Index,” the U.S. can conduct a comprehensive assessment of countries’ strengths and weaknesses, aiding in the prioritization and efficacy of interventions.

Ultimately, addressing illiberal governance requires country-specific strategies, innovative solutions, and strengthened multilateral partnerships. By prioritizing empowerment and collaboration, the United States can effectively mitigate the effects of democratic backsliding,ensuring a secure, democratic, and prosperous Western Hemisphere